Fowl Track of the Day
Brown Thrasher, Stipson Island Rd., Cape Might, New Jersey, United States/
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In Case You May Miss…
The Rescinded OMB “freeze” memo: after-action stories and interpretations.
Beware the so-called “buyout” scheme.
Tulsi Gabbard nomination for DNI.
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Search for the Helpers
In case you are within the LA space:
* * *
Politics
“So many of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in fact a rational management of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
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Trump Administration
“Litigation Tracker: Legal Challenges to Trump Administration Actions” [Just Security]. • Quite loads. Value a glance (although it offers the creeps that the lawfare spooks are monitoring the work they themselves encourage).
* * *
“Did Backlash Really Kill the Trump Funding Freeze?” [Ed Kilgore, New York Magazine]. “Why did Team Trump back off this particular initiative so quickly? It’s easy to say the administration was responding to D.C. district judge Loren AliKhan’s injunction halting the freeze. But then again, the administration (and particularly OMB director nominee Russell Vought) has been spoiling for a court fight over the constitutionality of the Impoundment Control Act that the proposed freeze so obviously violated. Surely something else was wrong with the freeze, aside from the incredible degree of chaos associated with its rollout, requiring multiple clarifications of which agencies and programs it affected (which may have been a feature rather than a bug to the initiative’s government-hating designers). According to the New York Times, the original OMB memo, despite its unprecedented nature and sweeping scope, wasn’t even vetted by senior White House officials like alleged policy overlord Stephen Miller…. [T]he funding freeze looks like a clear misstep for an administration and a Republican Party that were walking very tall after the 47th president’s first week in office, giving Democrats a rare perceived ‘win.’” Observe my beforehand expressed strictures on sloppy drafting. However: “It’s far too early, however, to imagine that the chaos machine humming along at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue will fall silent even for a moment…. . Democrats and Trump-skeptical Republicans will need to stay on their toes to keep up with this administration’s schemes and its willingness to shatter norms.” And: “But it’s true that the electorate that lifted Trump to the White House for the second time almost surely wasn’t voting to sharply cut, if not terminate, the host of popular federal programs that appeared to be under the gun when OMB issued its funding freeze memo.” • Therefore footnote 2: Social Safety and Medicare have been “popular Federal programs” amongst voters of each events, therefore fenced off. Not so Medicaid.
“Trump’s First Big Fiasco Triggers Stephen Miller’s Rage—Take Note Dems” [The New Republic]. “White House adviser Stephen Miller is frantically searching for scapegoats to blame for the unfolding disaster around President Donald Trump’s massive freeze on federal spending.” That could be so, however the White Home additionally reduce its losses instantly. Extra: “All of which carries a lesson for Democrats: This is what it looks like when the opposition stirs and uses its power in a unified way to make a lot of what you might call sheer political noise. That can help set the media agenda, throw Trump and his allies on the defensive, and deliver defeats to Trump that deflate his cultish aura of invincibility.” And: ” nternal occasion debates counsel that many Democrats imagine that Trump’s 2024 victory reveals voters don’t care concerning the dire risk he poses to democracy and constitutional governance, or that defending them towards Trump have to be reducible to ‘kitchen table’ appeals. However the funding freeze fiasco ought to illustrate that this studying is extremely inadequate. An understanding of the second formed round the concept that voters are principally reachable solely through financial considerations—nevertheless essential—fails to offer steering on easy methods to convey to voters why issues like this extraordinary Trumpian energy seize truly matter.” • How within the title of candy struggling Jeebus is reducing Medicaid not an financial concern?! (Additionally, I’m so, so uninterested in Democrats psychologizing issues, whether or not in overseas or home coverage. Miller’s rage, Putin’s concern…. It’s highschool stuff. Scary an enemy’s emotional response is the subtext of so many tales. It’s hardly strategic.)
“The Trump White House Wants A Court Challenge Over Frozen Funds” [HuffPo]. “The Trump administration’s federal government funding freeze instituted Monday and apparently rescinded Wednesday appears to be a part of the White House’s official policy to get courts to hand President Donald Trump the power to pick and choose which congressionally authorized funding he will spend, according to a confidential document obtained by HuffPost. The confidential Office of Management and Budget document outlining “regulatory misalignment” calls on Trump to problem government orders blocking the discharge of appropriated funds as a way to provoke a courtroom problem over the president’s energy to impound such funds…. [The] complicated sequence of occasions and conflicting statements and actions [over the OMB memo] could also be a fiasco, however the confidential OMB doc makes clear that the administration intends on fomenting this very courtroom problem over the president’s energy to not spend congressionally approved funds.” • So the lawfare technique might find yourself enjoying the Republicans recreation, culminating in blowback. How unlucky there’s no different avenue for redress. And right here is an much more Machiavellian idea:
I quite strongly suspect the funding freeze – revoked at present – was merely an experiment to see the place all the cash was truly going by monitoring subsequent screaming and panicked donation requests on social media.
Focused motion might be anticipated to observe later. https://t.co/SESzGTYhlt
* * *
“Beware the “Deferred Resignation” Provide: A Legally Doubtful Proposal for Federal Workers” [Just Security]. Skipping over the element on statutes: “[A}gencies would still need a valid legal justification for prolonged administrative leave, and it is not clear that OPM’s offer would be sufficient….[I]t is not advisable that workers rely on the administration’s promise to honor the wishes of employees who elect to resign and then decide instead to stay…. Employees considering the deferred resignation offer should be aware that resignation acceptance is not guaranteed… Federal employees should not rush into accepting this offer without consulting their union representatives or legal counsel. ” And now the Machiavellian half: “[T]his plan has the potential to upend entire agencies and divisions if large numbers of employees take the deal. Without sufficient budget space to hire replacements, critical government functions could be severely reduced or even eliminated, leaving essential services that Americans rely on with no staff to carry them out. This lack of a transition strategy makes the proposal not only legally dubious but also highly irresponsible from a public policy standpoint…. There is possibly a deeper agenda at play as well. By timing the latest resignation date to the end of the fiscal year, the administration isn’t just accelerating workforce reductions—it’s preemptively cutting these positions from the next federal budget, effectively shrinking agencies permanently.” • Ingenious!
Nominations
Tulsi Gabbard will carry daylight to a rotten system” [The Spectator]. “Americans have understandably lost trust in our intelligence services. In choosing Lieutenant Colonel Gabbard, President Trump has picked a highly-qualified, reform-minded leader who can regain that trust. The fact that her nomination has engendered such blowback in the media, driven and organized by the failed leadership class of past administrations, is a sign of how much they fear her. They dread what she represents: sunlight and transparency, a bright light confronting a dark, rotten system ridden rife with liars and frauds. The intelligence services of the United States of America ought to be focused on serving our national interest. They ought to be focused on understanding the movements and intentions of the nation’s foes, anticipating dangers before they emerge and giving the commander-in-chief the information needed to stop those who would harm us. That is the reason they exist. Instead, in recent years, our intelligence services — the same people who swore to uphold the Constitution and defend us against dangerous threats — have time and again turned on the American people.” • John Brennan hates her, which is purpose sufficient to verify her.
2024 Publish Mortem
“The Shrinking Electoral Relevance of PA’s Suburbs” [RealClearPolitics]. “Recent data released by the Pennsylvania Department of State indicate that Pennsylvania’s suburban voters didn’t decide the 2024 presidential election, as has been their customary role in the past. In fact, the data reveal that suburban voters were the election’s lagging indicator of a historic political realignment that has reshaped American politics for the foreseeable future. President Trump won Pennsylvania by more than 120,000 votes for two reasons. Compared to four years ago, a surge of nearly 115,000 voters came exclusively from outside of the suburbs. These voters were decidedly Trump voters. Meantime, remarkably, Philadelphia yielded Trump the largest raw vote shift of the election, with the president gaining nearly 50,000 votes in the city. In other words, rural and exurban anti-establishment voters, along with Philadelphia’s working class, handed the presidency to Trump and delivered a sweep for all statewide Republicans on the ballot….. As trust in institutions continues to erode, suburban voters stand at a crossroads, grappling with the shifting political, cultural, and economic landscape.Their preference for institutional stability is being challenged by a new majority demanding transparency, accountability, and reform. If suburban voters can reconcile these forces, they may reclaim their role as decisive actors in future elections and shape policy. Or, they may be left behind just as the working class was for generations at their expense.”
Resistance
Lambert right here: I modified the title of this class from #TheResistance (Neera Tanden’s et al.’s 2016 effort) to resistance typically.
“USDA inspector general escorted out of her office after defying White House” [Reuters] • Extra like this, please. Why comply?
“Declassified CIA Guide to Sabotaging Fascism Is Suddenly Viral” [404 Media]. “A declassified World War II-era government guide to ‘simple sabotage’ is currently one of the most popular open source books on the internet. The book, called ‘Simple Sabotage Field Manual,’ was declassified in 2008 by the CIA and ‘describes ways to train normal people to be purposefully annoying telephone operators, dysfunctional train conductors, befuddling middle managers, blundering factory workers, unruly movie theater patrons, and so on. In other words, teaching people to do their jobs badly.’ Over the last week, the guide has surged to become the 5th-most-accessed book on Project Gutenberg, an open source repository of free and public domain ebooks.” • For instance, the creator begins:
And:
Republican Funhouse
“Watch: 14 Hours of Never-Before-Published Videos From Project 2025’s Presidential Administration Academy” [ProPublica]. “ProPublica and Documented obtained more than 14 hours of never-before-published videos from Project 2025’s Presidential Administration Academy, which are intended to train the next conservative administration’s political appointees ‘to be ready on day one.’ … But Project 2025’s plan to train an army of political appointees who could battle against the so-called deep state government bureaucracy remains on track. Video trainings like these are one of the ‘four pillars’ of that plan, says Spencer Chretien, the associate director of Project 2025, in ‘Political Appointees & The Federal Workforce.’ For transparency, we are publishing the videos as we obtained them.” • Makes you marvel if the author who butchered the OMB memo was a graduate of the putative academy. Though there are not any transcripts [snarl] little doubt some intelligent Democratic strategist is scanning these movies now, as a result of they expose what Trump’s minions learn about authorities — and what they don’t. By some means, I don’t suppose 14 hours of coaching movies are gonna reduce it.
Syndemics
“I am in earnest — I will not equivocate — I will not excuse — I will not retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
* * *
Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “Infection Control, Emergency Management, Safety, and General Thoughts” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the deal with given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, thump, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep protected on the market!
* * *
Lambert right here: Every thing’s gone darkish apart from trusty New York State hospitalization (each day), Walgreen’s positivity (weekly), and the Cleveland Clinic? Readers, do you might have any recommendations about alternate options at state stage? Thanks! How I want we had Biobot again….
TABLE 1: Every day Covid Charts
Wastewater
This week[1] CDC January 13
Final week[2] CDC (till subsequent week):
Variants [3] CDC January 18
Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC January 11
Hospitalization
★ New York[5] New York State, knowledge January 29:
Nationwide [6] CDC January 24:
Positivity
Nationwide[7] Walgreens January 27:
Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic January 18:
Vacationers Knowledge
Positivity[9] CDC December 30:
Variants[10] CDC December 30
Deaths
Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11] CDC January 11:
Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12] CDC January 11:
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new at present; all others aren’t up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open image in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (CDC) Seeing extra crimson and extra orange, however nothing new at main hubs.
[2] (CDC) Final week’s wastewater map.
[3] (CDC Variants) XEC takes over. That WHO label, “Ommicron,” has carried out a fantastic job normalizing successive waves of an infection.
[4] (ED) Slightly uptick.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Positively jumped.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). Leveling out.
[7] (Walgreens) Leveling out.
[8] (Cleveland) Continued upward development since, properly, Thanksgiving.
[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Leveling out.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants). Positivity is new, however variants haven’t but been launched.
[11] Deaths low, positivity leveling out.
[12] Deaths low, ED leveling out.
Stats Watch
Employment State of affairs: “United States Initial Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “Initial jobless claims in the US sank by 16,000 from the previous week to 207,000 in the period ending January 25th, firmly below market expectations of 220,000 to mark a sharp pullback from the near two-month high last week and match the lower range of readings from recent weeks…. The result was consistent with the Federal Reserve’s statement that the US labor market has steadied near solid levels, adding leeway for rates to remain at the restrictive level for a longer period.”
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Manufacturing: Boeing: a approach out of the disaster or simply window-dressing?” [MarketScreener]. “Boeing is also under fire from the engineers’ union, which is investigating possible job relocations to non-union regions. Despite these tensions, analyst Richard Aboulafia (AeroDynamic Advisory) remains pragmatic: ‘The path to increased production is mapped out, and the market wants its planes.’”
Manufacturing: “Elon Musk Wants Boeing To Rush Trump’s New Air Force One” [Jalopnik]. “Considering just how sketchy things have been at Boeing for a while now, I personally wouldn’t be to hasty to have the company rush a product.” • Certainly.
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At present’s Worry & Greed Index: 47 Impartial (earlier shut: 45 Impartial) [CNN]. One week in the past: 45 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Jan 30 at 12:42:01 PM ET.
Gallery
“Piled High: 17th-Century Dutch Banquet Scenes” [The Public Domain Review]. “The feast laid out is lavish, but the table is so overladen, there is no space to dine. This is the somewhat absurd scenario staged by the tablescapes of Dutch banquet still life paintings. Also known as pronkstilleven, or “sumptuous still lifes”, these scenes are a definite subgenre of nonetheless life portray that gained fleeting recognition within the mid-seventeenth century. Mountainous jumbles of sensuous luxurious commodities — luscious fruits; savory meats and seafood; ostentatious servingware of gold, silver, and porcelain; and unique imported textiles — concurrently mound upward and tumble towards the spectator. The tabletops in these scenes don’t assist static show however quite facilitate an aggressive spilling forth. As if to drive the purpose residence, the efflux of pie filling in Adriaen van Utrecht’s canvas serves as a visible metonym for the general scene wherein an array of aromatic, piquant treats is about to breach the boundary of the image aircraft.” • For instance:
I like that Dutch has “pronk” and English has “sumptuous.”
Zeitgeist Watch
Undecided the place this clip comes from, or why the racial subtext:
It fucking tried to stand up at 0:46 lmfao. Is probably not precedent for his retarded followers, however this stuff are gonna mog people in a number of years, so no matter.
I agree that kicking the robotic is silly. What they need to do is about it on fireplace.
I’m not feeling wired at present.
* * *
Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a examine in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me pictures of vegetation. Greens are effective! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you would like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From Wukchumni:
Wukchumni writes: “Saline hot springs.”
* * *
Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. Materials right here is Lambert’s, and doesn’t categorical the views of the Bare Capitalism website. Should you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see anyplace else, please don’t hesitate to precise your appreciation in tangible type. Keep in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common constructive suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 3 or 4 days I get fearful. Extra tangibly, a continuing trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I think about that trickle when setting fundraising targets:
Right here is the display screen that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
This entry was posted in Visitor Publish, Water Cooler on January 30, 2025 by Lambert Strether.
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