(Reuters) – Citigroup (NYSE:) analysts anticipate that rising market shares will underperform in comparison with international friends following Donald Trump’s current victory within the U.S. presidential election, regardless of China’s current coverage initiatives and international financial development.
The brokerage mentioned in a observe on Thursday it expects Trump’s commerce insurance policies to be a drag on international development, whereas consequent U.S. greenback energy may additional strain rising market belongings.
It expects Saudi Arabia and India to be much less uncovered to commerce dangers, and upgraded the highest oil exporter to “overweight” from “underweight”.
However downgraded India to “neutral” from “overweight”, citing stalling earnings development and strain from overseas traders promoting following China’s current coverage assist measures.
Citigroup forecast India’s Nifty 50 index to the touch ranges of 25,000 by September 2025 – an about 6% rise from its final shut.
It lifted South Africa’s ranking to “overweight” from “neutral”, pointing to enticing revenue development and potential tailwinds from China’s stimulus measures.
It slashed scores on South Korea to “underweight”, citing weaker company revenue development within the nation.
The brokerage additionally warned that elevated commerce coverage uncertainty may weigh on Korea’s economic system and harm its exports to america.
However believes Korea’s index may contact 2,800 factors by mid-2025 – a 16% rise from present ranges. Citigroup expects momentum from a restoration in semiconductor earnings and the native central financial institution’s rate of interest cuts to additional assist the index into the second half of 2025.
Broadly, Citigroup has a “neutral” ranking on growing markets shares and forecast the equities index to the touch ranges of 1,210 factors by mid-2025, an round 10% upside from present ranges.
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