US president-elect Donald Trump has refused to rule out army pressure to take Greenland. However America’s army presence there has lengthy dwarfed the handful of ships, canine sled patrols and single surveillance airplane operated by the Arctic island’s safety guarantor Denmark.

Pituffik House Base, situated within the far north of Greenland for the reason that finish of the second world conflict, is dwelling to 200 US army personnel and 450 different forces and contractors from allies, a part of Washington’s missile early warning system in addition to providing house surveillance and satellite tv for pc command.

The northernmost US base — solely about 1,500km from the North Pole — is probably the most potent image of how very important Greenland is to American safety. However its geostrategic significance is just prone to improve as local weather change reshapes the Arctic, opening new buying and selling routes near North America and placing Greenland on the coronary heart of the rising polar tussle between the US, China, and Russia.

Mikkel Runge Olesen, senior researcher on the Danish Institute for Worldwide Research, stated: “For the US, the problem is Chinese and Russian interest in the Arctic. The US has started to see the Arctic as a region for geopolitical competition. It’s very important for the US to keep the other great powers out of Greenland.”

When Trump first expressed curiosity in shopping for Greenland in 2019, he framed it as like “a large real estate deal” and emphasised the financial elements of prising it away from Denmark. This time, his focus has modified. “We need Greenland for national security purposes,” he stated on Tuesday, whereas mentioning the necessity to deter Russian and Chinese language ships.

The world’s largest non-continental island might have solely 57,000 inhabitants nevertheless it has an outsized function in safety issues. It sits in the beginning of each the north-west and north-east passages via the Arctic, that are prone to open up extra to business transport via melting, and is near essential routes for Russian and different submarines.

Thought-about a part of the North American landmass, Greenland is an autonomous territory of Denmark that has a capital that’s nearer to Washington DC than Copenhagen.

“Greenland is intimately connected with our security for a lot of reasons and has been visibly since World War II,” John Bolton, the previous nationwide safety adviser to Trump when he first floated the concept of shopping for Greenland, informed The Free Press not too long ago.

Bolton added: “We know from repeated efforts by the Chinese to extend their influence, they want to become an Arctic power . . . So given Greenland’s geographic proximity to the US . . . it’s obviously a strategic interest.”

Denmark not too long ago stated it should make investments as much as $2bn on new ships, drones, canine sled groups and can bulk up its Arctic Command on Greenland © Chris Szagola/APThe Pituffik House Base in Greenland is a part of the US’s missile early warning system in addition to providing house surveillance and satellite tv for pc command © Google Earth

The query is whether or not Trump’s aggressive stance — probably threatening army motion towards a Nato ally — helps or hinders US makes an attempt to spice up its safety in Greenland.

The tone of Denmark’s response has been remarkably emollient, even when it has insisted Greenland just isn’t on the market. Lars Løkke Rasmussen, Denmark’s international minister, on Wednesday stated he was open to debate with the US “how we can possibly co-operate even more closely than we already do to ensure that the American ambitions [in the Arctic] are fulfilled”.

Denmark, whose personal troop presence on Greenland is restricted to an Arctic Command of simply 75 individuals, has tried to reveal to the US that it’s prepared to improve its safety presence on the island.

It unveiled a $250mn improve in surveillance capabilities in Greenland and the Faroe Islands, one other Danish autonomous territory, in 2021. And on Christmas Eve final yr, simply after Trump first expressed once more his want to regulate Greenland, Denmark’s defence minister Troels Lund Poulsen stated the Nordic nation will make investments as much as $2bn on new ships, drones, canine sled groups, will construct up its Arctic Command, and lengthen an airport runway to take F-35 plane on the Arctic island.

Nonetheless, the challenges concerned in defending the huge island had been underscored in 2023 when a cruise ship ran aground on the east coast of Greenland and it took 4 days for the primary rescue vessel from the Danish army to achieve it.

Olesen of the DIIS stated: “It’s a very dicey situation for Denmark . . . But Denmark has been extremely accommodating to the US in Greenland. So it’s puzzling that the US would need to do this because they already have free rein.”

A Trump-branded airplane carrying Donald Trump Jr lands in Nuuk, Greenland on Tuesday © Emil Stach/Ritzau Scanpix/Reuters

Consultants and Greenlandic officers say there have been discussions about increase the US army presence on the Arctic island, probably even via a second base. A number of years in the past a present Greenlandic minister stated they’d be “happy to see more” US defences forces on the island, describing them as “reassuring”.

The push for Greenland to realize independence from Denmark — prone to function strongly in elections this April however nonetheless an honest method off due to financial challenges — would solely improve the necessity for an outdoor safety guarantor to assist defend the island in addition to the necessity for international traders.

Advisable

“We don’t want a new colonial power. But it’s clear that we can’t look after defence ourselves — in money or people terms,” stated one Greenlandic official.

Bolton prompt Trump could be clever to “close his mouth” and permit officers in Washington, Copenhagen, and Nuuk work out a brand new relationship. However the president-elect appears unlikely to observe that recommendation, stressing that Denmark ought to quit Greenland “because we need it for national security”.

Olesen stated in the end it will be for Greenlanders to determine, and that Trump would wish not simply to threaten however present what he may present them by way of safety. “What is the US prepared to offer Greenland? Before we see that, it’s hard to know how Greenland will act,” he added.

Cartography by Steven Bernard

Enterprise

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